Recession

 Is Closer Than

 You Think

Inflation rates are historically high, companies have laid off hundreds employees, and the U.S. economy is facing poor growth. Is this all a sign of a major recession?

Are We In Recession?

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U.S. Treasury yield

U.S. Treasury yields are the interest rates paid on bonds issued by the U.S. government. Now U.S. Treasury yield curve chart Flashing a red flag of recession.

 Govt Increase Rates

The current Inflation rate is 7%, and the U.S. government wants to cut it down to 2% by increasing short term rates which directly affect the economy.

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Inverted Yield Curve

Usually the long-term treasury rates are higher than the short-term ones, but currently the short-term yield rates are higher which creates an inverted yield curve.

October Yield Rates

In October 2022, the U.S. Treasury two-year note yield was 4.48%, whereas the U.S. Treasury 10-year note was at 4.00% with a difference of -0.48%

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Yield Historical Data

Now, we can check historical data; every time the yield curve makes the inverted curve, there is a strong indication that a recession will occur.

Direct Connection

The last time this happened was in 1982, 2000, and 2008 when the U.S. economy declined due to a heavy downturn.

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What Burry Said 

Hedge fund manager and investor Michael Barry recently tweeted, "You have no idea how short I am", and later deleted this tweet.

Recession Is Comming

Long story short, the U.S. economy, Stock Market, Cryptocurrencies, interest rate, inflation, company's situation, and the yield curve all point to the recession.

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What We Do?

Unfortunately, nobody knows when a recession will begin, how deep or how long it will last. Therefore, before anything goes wrong we should be ready for that.

How to Protect Yourself From Inflation

2022

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